Reinterpreting the Marshmallow Experiment

Gábor Bíró 2024. September 08.
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One of the most famous and influential studies in the history of psychology is undoubtedly the Stanford marshmallow experiment. Conducted by Walter Mischel and his colleagues in the 1960s, this research shaped how we think about self-control and its long-term effects for decades. But is the picture really as simple as we once thought?

Reinterpreting the Marshmallow Experiment
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More Than Just Self-Control?

In recent years, new research has prompted us to re-evaluate this iconic experiment and its conclusions.

What Was the Marshmallow Test?

First, let's recap what this famous experiment involved. Researchers placed children aged 4-6 in a room and presented them with a marshmallow. The children were told that if they could resist eating the marshmallow for 15 minutes, they would receive a second one. This seemingly simple scenario measured their capacity for self-control and delayed gratification.

The original conclusion of the experiment was that children who were able to wait for the second marshmallow tended to be more successful later in life. They achieved better academic results, were healthier, and earned higher incomes.

New Perspectives

However, in recent years, several researchers have questioned these findings. New studies indicate that a child's decision—whether to wait for the second marshmallow—depends on more than just innate self-control. Far more complex factors influence this decision.

1. Environmental Reliability

An intriguing experiment at the University of Rochester demonstrated that children's decisions are significantly influenced by how much they trust their environment and the person making the promise. Researchers divided the children into two groups:

  • One group experienced a reliable environment: the experimenter always kept their promises.
  • The other group experienced an unreliable environment: the experimenter did not keep their promises.

The result? Children in the reliable environment were able to wait four times longer for the reward than those in the unreliable environment.

This finding suggests that what was previously attributed solely to self-control might actually be a rational decision based on experiences with the reliability of the environment.

2. The Impact of Socioeconomic Status

More recent research has also highlighted that a child's family socioeconomic status (SES) significantly influences their ability to delay gratification.

  • Children from higher SES backgrounds generally perform better on such tests.
  • Children from lower SES backgrounds more often choose the immediate reward.

This doesn't necessarily mean that children from lower SES backgrounds have weaker self-control. Instead, it might be that choosing the immediate reward is a more rational decision in their circumstances, as the future is often more uncertain for them.

3. Cultural Differences

Interestingly, the marshmallow test has been conducted in various cultures, revealing significant differences:

  • Children in Cameroon waited, on average, 10 minutes longer than their American counterparts.
  • Among Japanese children, the ability to delay gratification was found not to be as predictive of later success as it was for American children.

These results suggest that the ability to delay gratification and how it is valued are also culturally shaped.

Long-Term Outcomes

Although we need to re-evaluate the conclusions of the original experiment, the capacity for self-control and delayed gratification remain important factors for success in life.

A 40-year follow-up study showed that childhood self-control strongly predicts adult success, independent of intelligence or socioeconomic background. Children with better self-control, as adults:

  • Enjoyed better physical health
  • Earned higher incomes
  • Possessed better parenting skills
  • Were less likely to struggle with substance abuse issues or commit crimes

However, it's important to note that these correlations are not deterministic and are influenced by other factors.

Conclusions

What can we learn from all this? Reinterpreting the marshmallow test highlights that human behavior and development are far more complex than previously thought.

  1. Self-control is important, but it's not the sole determinant of success.
  2. Environmental reliability and predictability are crucial for children's development.
  3. Socioeconomic background significantly influences children's decision-making strategies.
  4. Cultural differences play an important role in how we value and develop self-control.

Ultimately, this research reminds us to be cautious with simple explanations and solutions. Human behavior and development are complex processes influenced by countless factors.

As parents, educators, or leaders, it's important not only to focus on individual abilities but also to pay attention to the kind of environment we create. A reliable, supportive environment might be the key to helping both children and adults achieve long-term success.

Gábor Bíró 2024. September 08.